Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.117986 0.131582 0.145507 0.160794 0.177067 0.193834 0.212377
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.101364 0.120046 0.139874 0.162355 0.187013 0.213115 0.242719
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.090625 0.113157 0.137817 0.166539 0.198809 0.233702 0.274038
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.079368 0.104470 0.132781 0.166605 0.205462 0.248285 0.298630
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.071263 0.098591 0.130286 0.169029 0.214413 0.265252 0.325875
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.063755 0.092714 0.127235 0.170367 0.221820 0.280327 0.350990
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.056621 0.086648 0.123444 0.170414 0.227428 0.293173 0.373523
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.050884 0.081838 0.120784 0.171500 0.234046 0.307085 0.397285
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.045048 0.076374 0.116889 0.170726 0.238176 0.317917 0.417393
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.041585 0.073811 0.116479 0.174142 0.247323 0.334702 0.444586
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.037566 0.070106 0.114294 0.175077 0.253253 0.347547 0.467092
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.033759 0.066360 0.111784 0.175377 0.258237 0.359159 0.488099
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.029541 0.061760 0.108015 0.174077 0.261408 0.368919 0.507437
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.026605 0.058849 0.106397 0.175497 0.267984 0.382877 0.531951
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024758 0.057501 0.106896 0.179725 0.278196 0.401422 0.562211
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021943 0.054251 0.104403 0.179670 0.282694 0.412750 0.583591
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020034 0.052349 0.103774 0.182120 0.290459 0.428215 0.610166
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018047 0.050086 0.102437 0.183454 0.296669 0.441687 0.634291
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015968 0.047400 0.100265 0.183452 0.300988 0.452693 0.655332
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014318 0.045333 0.098924 0.184552 0.306743 0.465533 0.678710
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012475 0.042622 0.096362 0.183712 0.309738 0.474737 0.697472
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011568 0.041759 0.096776 0.187269 0.318812 0.491905 0.726430
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010321 0.039976 0.095527 0.188232 0.324222 0.504252 0.749257